Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001142 0.001237 0.001338 0.001454 0.001584 0.001726 0.001894
2026-02-01 0.000972 0.001094 0.001231 0.001397 0.001596 0.001827 0.002119
2026-02-08 0.000866 0.001000 0.001157 0.001356 0.001604 0.001907 0.002312
2026-02-15 0.000798 0.000942 0.001114 0.001340 0.001632 0.002006 0.002530
2026-02-22 0.000735 0.000882 0.001063 0.001306 0.001630 0.002059 0.002688
2026-03-01 0.000675 0.000821 0.001004 0.001255 0.001599 0.002067 0.002779
2026-03-08 0.000637 0.000784 0.000972 0.001236 0.001607 0.002128 0.002949
2026-03-15 0.000601 0.000748 0.000939 0.001211 0.001604 0.002169 0.003091
2026-03-22 0.000553 0.000694 0.000878 0.001145 0.001535 0.002108 0.003064
2026-03-29 0.000524 0.000663 0.000847 0.001118 0.001521 0.002125 0.003165
2026-04-05 0.000513 0.000656 0.000848 0.001136 0.001574 0.002251 0.003458
2026-04-12 0.000497 0.000641 0.000837 0.001136 0.001600 0.002334 0.003685
2026-04-19 0.000536 0.000707 0.000948 0.001329 0.001953 0.003007 0.005132
2026-04-26 0.000501 0.000665 0.000901 0.001279 0.001908 0.002997 0.005272
2026-05-03 0.000472 0.000633 0.000864 0.001242 0.001882 0.003019 0.005480
2026-05-10 0.000452 0.000611 0.000843 0.001227 0.001893 0.003110 0.005853
2026-05-17 0.000430 0.000585 0.000813 0.001197 0.001873 0.003137 0.006089
2026-05-24 0.000406 0.000554 0.000776 0.001152 0.001822 0.003099 0.006163
2026-05-31 0.000390 0.000537 0.000757 0.001135 0.001823 0.003163 0.006502
2026-06-07 0.000374 0.000517 0.000735 0.001113 0.001810 0.003199 0.006776
2026-06-14 0.000351 0.000487 0.000693 0.001054 0.001724 0.003070 0.006588
2026-06-21 0.000336 0.000469 0.000672 0.001029 0.001702 0.003078 0.006778
2026-06-28 0.000332 0.000466 0.000674 0.001046 0.001760 0.003268 0.007530